![]() Another required element is an assessment of the conditionality of any UE, i.e. the conditionality associated with the implicit and explicit choices and assumptions made during the modelling and UE process, given the information available (e.g. Rougier and Beven, 2013). ![]() Effective use of model estimates in decision-making requires a level of confidence to be established (Bennett et al., 2013), and UE is one element of determining this. Including applications used in decision-making (Alexandrov et al., 2011 Ascough et al., 2008). Of uncertainty estimation (UE) in the environmental modelling domain, There is a general trend toward the increasing inclusion Best practice with respect to the evaluation of modelling assumptions and choices, specifically including epistemic uncertainties, is also included by the incorporation of a condition tree that allows users to record assumptions and choices made as an audit trail log.Įnvironmental simulation models are used extensively for research andĮnvironmental management. The toolbox implementation aims to increase the uptake of uncertainty estimation methods within a framework designed to be open and explicit in a way that tries to represent best practice with respect to applying the methods included. The workflow scripts provide examples of how to utilize toolbox functions for a variety of modelling applications and, hence, aid the user in defining their own workflow additional help is provided by extensively commented code. ![]() The methods included span both formal statistical and informal approaches, which are demonstrated using a range of modelling applications set up as workflow scripts. The toolbox focusses on environmental simulation models and, hence, employs a range of different Monte Carlo methods for forward and conditioned uncertainty estimation. We present the Consortium on Risk in the Environment: Diagnostics, Integration, Benchmarking, Learning and Elicitation (CREDIBLE) Uncertainty Estimation (CURE) toolbox, an open-source MATLAB TM toolbox for uncertainty estimation aimed at scientists and practitioners who are not necessarily experts in uncertainty estimation. There is a general trend toward the increasing inclusion of uncertaintyĮstimation in the environmental modelling domain.
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |